| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
32% |
+217 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
— |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
55% |
-122 |
▲ 9.2 pp |
$1K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? |
Polymarket |
Other |
12% |
+744 |
▲ 2.0 pp |
$1K |
Sep 27, 2026 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3604 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
10% |
+947 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Iran leadership change by August 22? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+5028 |
▼ 0.6 pp |
$1K |
Aug 22, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+22122 |
flat |
$1K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
1% |
+9424 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
18% |
+456 |
▲ 8.3 pp |
$1K |
Apr 17, 2027 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
41% |
+147 |
▼ 12.0 pp |
$1K |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
52% |
-106 |
▼ 2.5 pp |
$1K |
Aug 29, 2026 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
56% |
-125 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$1K |
Oct 24, 2027 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
21% |
+376 |
▲ 3.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Polymarket |
Other |
28% |
+257 |
▲ 0.5 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1329 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
93% |
-1233 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
47% |
+113 |
▲ 4.5 pp |
$1K |
Jun 6, 2027 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
5% |
+1920 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
1% |
+15285 |
▼ 8.9 pp |
$1K |
Jun 6, 2027 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in August 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3604 |
▲ 1.2 pp |
$1K |
Sep 1, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
5% |
+2122 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |