Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +6352 ▼ 0.1 pp $7K Nov 7, 2028
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2098 flat $6K Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 80% -388 ▲ 19.0 pp $6K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 14% +641 ▲ 3.0 pp $6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 97% -2757 ▲ 2.0 pp $5K Aug 11, 2026
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 9% +970 ▼ 0.1 pp $5K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 1% +15285 ▼ 0.1 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 99% -7043 ▲ 0.4 pp $4K Aug 18, 2026
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 39% +160 ▼ 29.0 pp $4K Aug 11, 2026
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +10426 flat $4K Nov 7, 2028
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Polymarket Presidential 11% +793 ▼ 5.8 pp $3K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $3K Nov 7, 2028

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3604 ▲ 2.2 pp $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $997 Oct 4, 2026
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Polymarket Presidential 9% +1024 ▲ 0.2 pp $982 Dec 31, 2026
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4155 ▲ 1.1 pp $943 Oct 24, 2027
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 77% -326 ▼ 0.5 pp $815 Nov 30, 2026
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 ▲ 0.3 pp $804 Aug 18, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3075 flat $785 Apr 30, 2027
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $741 Apr 30, 2027
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1752 ▲ 4.7 pp $732 Oct 4, 2026
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -28471 ▲ 0.1 pp $713 Aug 18, 2026
Will the Workers’ Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Polymarket Presidential 99% -7900 ▲ 0.1 pp $674 Aug 15, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil’s presidential runoff? Polymarket Presidential 2% +5456 ▼ 0.6 pp $661 Oct 4, 2026
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +9424 flat $613 Oct 4, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 27% +277 ▲ 2.5 pp $601 Oct 4, 2026