Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 19% +441 ▼ 19.5 pp $3K Aug 11, 2026
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 2% +5028 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee? Polymarket Presidential 55% -122 ▼ 1.5 pp $2K Aug 18, 2026
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8233 ▼ 0.9 pp $2K Aug 11, 2026
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 44% +126 ▲ 0.4 pp $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 59% -145 ▲ 29.1 pp $2K Aug 11, 2026
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 39% +160 ▲ 3.0 pp $2K Aug 18, 2026
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 60% -147 ▼ 1.0 pp $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +10426 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1805 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +15285 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Polymarket Presidential 87% -691 ▲ 6.9 pp $2K Aug 11, 2026
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 flat $2K Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Polymarket Presidential 13% +646 ▲ 3.9 pp $2K Aug 11, 2026

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▲ 0.1 pp $142K Oct 4, 2026
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $119K Oct 4, 2026
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1207 ▲ 0.2 pp $41K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 8% +1233 flat $40K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +8596 ▼ 0.1 pp $27K Oct 4, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 64% -174 flat $14K Oct 4, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? Polymarket Presidential 1% +11665 ▼ 0.1 pp $13K Aug 31, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 27% +267 ▲ 0.1 pp $11K Oct 4, 2026
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 31% +218 ▲ 1.4 pp $10K Apr 30, 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket Presidential 7% +1438 ▼ 1.0 pp $10K Dec 31, 2026
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +99900 flat $10K Oct 4, 2026
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Polymarket Presidential 90% -852 ▼ 2.0 pp $7K Aug 14, 2026
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $6K Apr 30, 2027