Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $897 Nov 7, 2028
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $850 Nov 7, 2028
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +13233 flat $848 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $781 Nov 7, 2028
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $762 Nov 7, 2028
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $724 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $695 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Polymarket Presidential 29% +244 ▲ 19.9 pp $690 Aug 11, 2026
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $662 Nov 7, 2028
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $657 Nov 7, 2028
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -33233 ▲ 1.1 pp $650 Aug 11, 2026
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $628 Nov 7, 2028
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1920 ▼ 3.3 pp $621 Aug 10, 2028
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $619 Nov 7, 2028
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 flat $610 Nov 7, 2028
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2122 ▼ 1.0 pp $609 Dec 31, 2026

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3604 ▲ 2.2 pp $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $997 Oct 4, 2026
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Polymarket Presidential 9% +1024 ▲ 0.2 pp $982 Dec 31, 2026
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4155 ▲ 1.1 pp $943 Oct 24, 2027
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 77% -326 ▼ 0.5 pp $815 Nov 30, 2026
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? Polymarket Presidential 0% +28471 ▲ 0.3 pp $804 Aug 18, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3075 flat $785 Apr 30, 2027
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $741 Apr 30, 2027
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Polymarket Presidential 5% +1752 ▲ 4.7 pp $732 Oct 4, 2026
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary? Polymarket Presidential 100% -28471 ▲ 0.1 pp $713 Aug 18, 2026
Will the Workers’ Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Polymarket Presidential 99% -7900 ▲ 0.1 pp $674 Aug 15, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil’s presidential runoff? Polymarket Presidential 2% +5456 ▼ 0.6 pp $661 Oct 4, 2026
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 1% +9424 flat $613 Oct 4, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 27% +277 ▲ 2.5 pp $601 Oct 4, 2026