US Senate
Every Senate market we track — control of the chamber, individual seats, and the primaries that decide who’s on the ballot. Prices are implied probabilities, refreshed hourly.
Senate markets on the move
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 12%-15%?
8%
+1174
▼ 29.7 pp
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?
40%
+153
▲ 25.5 pp
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 9%-12%?
7%
+1339
▼ 24.1 pp
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
33%
+208
▼ 15.0 pp
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?
15%
+569
▼ 15.0 pp
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 0%-3%?
3%
+3179
▼ 15.0 pp
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
53%
-114
▼ 10.0 pp
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 15%-20%?
17%
+488
▼ 5.5 pp
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
11%
+852
▼ 5.3 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
Most traded Senate markets
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
47%
+115
flat
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
12%
+770
▼ 1.0 pp
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
55%
-120
flat
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
41%
+147
flat
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2%
+4662
▲ 0.9 pp
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
33%
+208
▼ 15.0 pp
Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook
All Senate markets
60 markets found