Political Market Report

Senate

US Senate

Every Senate market we track — control of the chamber, individual seats, and the primaries that decide who’s on the ballot. Prices are implied probabilities, refreshed hourly.

Senate markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded Senate markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All Senate markets

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60 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 54% -115 ▲ 1.0 pp $1K Nov 3, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 69% -217 flat $1K —
Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Polymarket Senate 0% +99900 flat $1K Aug 11, 2026
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more? Polymarket Senate 38% +163 ▼ 2.0 pp $986 Nov 3, 2026
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Polymarket Senate 32% +217 ▼ 1.0 pp $948 Aug 11, 2026
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? Polymarket Senate 40% +153 ▲ 25.5 pp $943 Nov 3, 2026
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 49% +106 flat $926 Nov 3, 2026
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 95% -1941 ▲ 1.6 pp $926 —
Will Angie Craig win Hennepin County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary? Polymarket Senate 3% +3900 ▼ 14.0 pp $881 Aug 11, 2026
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Polymarket Senate 29% +251 ▲ 2.0 pp $838 Aug 11, 2026
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket Senate 14% +614 ▲ 0.5 pp $797 —
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 6% +1718 flat $625 —
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 11% +852 ▼ 1.0 pp $595 —
Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Polymarket Senate 7% +1360 ▼ 1.8 pp $576 Aug 11, 2026
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Polymarket Senate 28% +264 ▲ 2.0 pp $558 Aug 11, 2026
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Polymarket Senate 53% -114 ▼ 10.0 pp $553 —
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 94% -1438 flat $544 —
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? Polymarket Senate 15% +569 ▼ 15.0 pp $499 Nov 3, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Polymarket Senate 47% +115 ▲ 1.0 pp $496 Nov 3, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Polymarket Senate 51% -102 flat $472 —
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? Polymarket Senate 11% +852 flat $449 Aug 11, 2026
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket Senate 27% +270 ▲ 3.5 pp $443 —
Will Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5% Polymarket Senate 6% +1718 ▼ 3.5 pp $413 Aug 11, 2026
Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Polymarket Senate 7% +1371 ▲ 1.3 pp $371 Aug 11, 2026
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Polymarket Senate 8% +1166 ▼ 1.6 pp $331 —