Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

Iran and Oman are advancing talks on joint management of the Strait of Hormuz, with Tehran pushing to collect mandatory service fees or tolls estimated at 5-7% of cargo value from commercial vessels. Recent proposals include voluntary contributions or temporary no-charge passages during demining, yet US sanctions on Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority and insurance restrictions create compliance barriers. Washington opposes any fees, citing international law distinctions between transit rights and service charges, while shipping groups warn of higher costs and supply risks. These diplomatic and legal frictions, alongside potential announcements before late August, shape trader assessments of whether official collection begins by target dates.

View this market on Polymarket →