| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
99% |
-13233 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$46K |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
98% |
-5456 |
▲ 15.2 pp |
$46K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+22122 |
▼ 3.8 pp |
$45K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Polymarket |
International |
87% |
-641 |
flat |
$45K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
9% |
+1043 |
▼ 0.3 pp |
$45K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Polymarket |
International |
27% |
+271 |
▲ 2.9 pp |
$45K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+6150 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$45K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Polymarket |
International |
5% |
+1735 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$44K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
2% |
+4155 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$43K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
52% |
-106 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$42K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+18082 |
▼ 0.3 pp |
$41K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
8% |
+1207 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$41K |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
8% |
+1233 |
flat |
$40K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
37% |
+174 |
▼ 4.5 pp |
$39K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
65% |
-182 |
▲ 6.5 pp |
$38K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
5% |
+2098 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$38K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
92% |
-1076 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$38K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
19% |
+426 |
▼ 7.5 pp |
$37K |
Aug 22, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
44% |
+127 |
▲ 1.6 pp |
$36K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
87% |
-641 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$36K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
66% |
-194 |
▼ 10.5 pp |
$36K |
Oct 31, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
8% |
+1135 |
▼ 4.2 pp |
$33K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
3% |
+3179 |
flat |
$32K |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
International |
79% |
-374 |
▼ 4.3 pp |
$32K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.3 pp |
$30K |
Aug 11, 2026 |