| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Polymarket |
International |
41% |
+143 |
▲ 0.3 pp |
$640 |
Jun 30, 2027 |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
33% |
+208 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$638 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+5782 |
▼ 2.4 pp |
$631 |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+66567 |
flat |
$628 |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
6% |
+1718 |
flat |
$625 |
— |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
9% |
+1076 |
▼ 2.5 pp |
$624 |
Sep 1, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
5% |
+1920 |
▼ 3.3 pp |
$621 |
Aug 10, 2028 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
0% |
+39900 |
flat |
$619 |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1329 |
▼ 4.5 pp |
$616 |
Aug 15, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+49900 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$616 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
29% |
+245 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$615 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? |
Polymarket |
Other |
76% |
-308 |
flat |
$614 |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
1% |
+9424 |
flat |
$613 |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
1% |
+18082 |
flat |
$610 |
Nov 7, 2028 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
5% |
+2122 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$609 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? |
Polymarket |
Other |
50% |
-100 |
▲ 1.0 pp |
$608 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09? |
Polymarket |
Congressional |
0% |
+39900 |
flat |
$608 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1360 |
▼ 3.6 pp |
$608 |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Governor |
15% |
+567 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$605 |
— |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Polymarket |
Presidential |
27% |
+277 |
▲ 2.5 pp |
$601 |
Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+7043 |
▼ 0.6 pp |
$599 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+4248 |
▼ 5.9 pp |
$597 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Senate |
11% |
+852 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$595 |
— |
| Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
40% |
+150 |
▲ 11.5 pp |
$595 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
10% |
+953 |
flat |
$595 |
Dec 31, 2026 |