Platform: Polymarket
-
Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?
Elin Norén holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the next chair of Region Dalarna’s executive board, reflecting her status as the incumbent Social Democrat who has led the regional executive since 2022 in the “Samling för Dalarna” coalition with the Center Party. The September 2026 regional elections, now weeks away, will determine the…
-
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
The Democratic presidential nomination field for 2028 remains wide open, with traders pricing Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a tight cluster near the top. This reflects an early post-2024 cycle environment lacking an obvious frontrunner or consensus choice among party figures. Multiple governors and senators continue to build profiles through state-level roles,…
-
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 31% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction yet shortened her eligibility ban enough to clear a path for her 2027 candidacy, which she immediately confirmed while pursuing further appeals. This development has consolidated support for the National Rally amid voter fatigue with Macron-era…
-
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
The Democratic presidential nomination field for 2028 remains wide open, with traders pricing Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a tight cluster near the top. This reflects an early post-2024 cycle environment lacking an obvious frontrunner or consensus choice among party figures. Multiple governors and senators continue to build profiles through state-level roles,…
-
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus as the likely next Israeli prime minister following the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, reflecting his recent polling surge with the Yashar party, which has drawn even or ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud. Eizenkot’s positioning stems from his record as former IDF chief of staff, personal losses during the Gaza…
-
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 31% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction yet shortened her eligibility ban enough to clear a path for her 2027 candidacy, which she immediately confirmed while pursuing further appeals. This development has consolidated support for the National Rally amid voter fatigue with Macron-era…
-
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
The tight race between Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and J.D. Vance reflects trader assessment of their respective administration roles and appeal within Republican primary dynamics. As HHS secretary, Kennedy has consolidated support among voters prioritizing health policy shifts and outsider credentials, while Vance, serving as vice president, benefits from institutional ties and continuity with the…
-
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Amanda Janoo leads the Vermont Democratic primary for governor at 58% in trader consensus, ahead of Aly Richards at 38%, as the August 11 vote nears. Janoo, an economist and the first Democrat to enter the race, has positioned herself as an outsider focused on structural economic change and a “wellbeing economy,” drawing support in…
-
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 31% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction yet shortened her eligibility ban enough to clear a path for her 2027 candidacy, which she immediately confirmed while pursuing further appeals. This development has consolidated support for the National Rally amid voter fatigue with Macron-era…
-
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
Anders Öberg has served as Regionstyrelsens ordförande in Region Norrbotten since January 2023, heading a governing coalition of Social Democrats, the Left Party, and the Center Party following the 2022 regional election. This incumbency, combined with his ongoing public role in regional healthcare, welfare, and development priorities ahead of the September 2026 vote, underpins the…