| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3900 |
▼ 10.0 pp |
$981 |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
36% |
+178 |
▼ 6.5 pp |
$973 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
91% |
-1056 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$970 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
13% |
+700 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$969 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1438 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$968 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+2841 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$962 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
13% |
+700 |
▼ 0.5 pp |
$954 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
32% |
+217 |
▲ 4.5 pp |
$935 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
3% |
+3674 |
▼ 0.3 pp |
$927 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
19% |
+441 |
flat |
$918 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1438 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$897 |
Aug 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2640 |
▼ 0.2 pp |
$887 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Polymarket |
Other |
76% |
-317 |
▲ 4.0 pp |
$866 |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Polymarket |
Other |
92% |
-1150 |
▲ 3.5 pp |
$865 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$856 |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Polymarket |
Other |
55% |
-120 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$856 |
Oct 27, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+7900 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$847 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
39% |
+160 |
flat |
$845 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? |
Polymarket |
Other |
33% |
+208 |
▼ 3.5 pp |
$839 |
Sep 24, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
78% |
-344 |
▲ 7.0 pp |
$837 |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Flinth be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? |
Polymarket |
Other |
2% |
+5614 |
flat |
$835 |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
21% |
+376 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$832 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
48% |
+108 |
▲ 3.5 pp |
$832 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
14% |
+641 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$831 |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Niclas Nilsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? |
Polymarket |
Other |
5% |
+1920 |
flat |
$816 |
Sep 13, 2026 |