| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
8% |
+1233 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
21% |
+388 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+39900 |
▼ 0.3 pp |
$1K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Polymarket |
Other |
10% |
+953 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
95% |
-1718 |
▲ 4.0 pp |
$1K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? |
Polymarket |
Other |
6% |
+1567 |
flat |
$1K |
Sep 13, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
31% |
+228 |
flat |
$1K |
Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2310 |
▼ 0.4 pp |
$1K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
91% |
-1070 |
▲ 39.5 pp |
$1K |
Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Polymarket |
Other |
27% |
+269 |
▲ 9.0 pp |
$1K |
— |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
49% |
+104 |
▲ 1.5 pp |
$1K |
Jun 30, 2027 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2310 |
▼ 1.9 pp |
$1K |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
78% |
-344 |
▲ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
1% |
+9424 |
▲ 0.1 pp |
$1K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
12% |
+770 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
4% |
+2253 |
▲ 0.2 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
92% |
-1076 |
flat |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
9% |
+1076 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
8% |
+1150 |
▼ 1.5 pp |
$1K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+99900 |
flat |
$1K |
Aug 18, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
7% |
+1438 |
flat |
$1,000 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Polymarket |
Other |
0% |
+22122 |
▼ 1.7 pp |
$996 |
Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Polymarket |
Other |
13% |
+700 |
▼ 2.0 pp |
$996 |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
Polymarket |
Other |
30% |
+239 |
▼ 1.0 pp |
$989 |
Dec 31, 2026 |