Platform: Polymarket

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Xavier Becerra holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the California governorship due to his decisive advancement through the June 2026 top-two primary and the state’s longstanding Democratic advantage in statewide contests. As the Democratic nominee facing Republican Steve Hilton in the November general election, Becerra benefits from unified party support, a proven record…

Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs faces Republican nominee Andy Biggs in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest, with recent head-to-head polls showing a narrow race marked by margins often in the low single digits. Biggs consolidated the Republican primary field after July 2026 voting, while Hobbs advanced unopposed, setting up a rematch dynamic in a…

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott maintains strong personal popularity and crossover appeal in Vermont, a state with consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and legislative contests, which keeps general election margins tightly contested among traders. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Scott leading Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards by double digits in hypothetical…

Republican U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany holds the lead in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following Democratic incumbent Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term, creating an open seat in a state with closely divided partisan leanings. Recent polling averages show Tiffany narrowly ahead of likely Democratic nominee Francesca Hong, who leads her August…