Political Market Report

President

The presidency

The 2028 nominations, the general, and the will-he-won’t-he contracts on the current occupant. Longshot candidate markets price a lot of fantasy — read them as attention, not forecast.

US presidential markets on the move

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

Most traded US presidential markets

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

All US presidential markets

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116 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▲ 0.1 pp $352K Nov 7, 2028
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $253K Nov 7, 2028
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 ▲ 0.1 pp $204K Nov 7, 2028
Trump out as President by August 31? Polymarket Presidential 1% +18082 ▼ 0.1 pp $129K Aug 31, 2026
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Polymarket Presidential 1% +14186 ▲ 0.2 pp $67K Aug 18, 2026
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 ▲ 0.1 pp $55K Nov 7, 2028
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4155 ▼ 0.2 pp $43K Nov 7, 2028
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Polymarket Presidential 37% +174 ▼ 4.5 pp $39K Aug 11, 2026
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Polymarket Presidential 65% -182 ▲ 6.5 pp $38K Aug 11, 2026
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3179 flat $32K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4445 flat $23K Nov 7, 2028
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▼ 0.1 pp $23K Nov 7, 2028
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 12% +703 flat $19K Nov 7, 2028
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +6352 flat $18K Nov 7, 2028
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $16K Nov 7, 2028
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 16% +527 ▼ 0.1 pp $14K Nov 7, 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 15% +573 ▼ 0.2 pp $14K Nov 7, 2028
Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Polymarket Presidential 2% +6150 ▼ 3.9 pp $10K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 10% +936 ▼ 0.2 pp $10K Nov 7, 2028
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 5% +2074 ▲ 0.2 pp $9K Aug 11, 2026
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Polymarket Presidential 96% -2199 ▲ 0.5 pp $8K Aug 11, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Polymarket Presidential 18% +470 ▼ 0.6 pp $8K Nov 7, 2028
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 22% +362 ▲ 0.2 pp $7K Nov 7, 2028
Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket Presidential 7% +1438 flat $7K Dec 31, 2026
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $7K Nov 7, 2028

Presidential races elsewhere

Brazil, France, and everywhere else holding a presidential election. Kept separate so the 2028 boards above stay readable.

Prices updated 2 months ago · source: prediction markets, not a sportsbook

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74 markets found

Market Platform Type Yes Odds 24h Volume Closes
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 3% +3674 ▲ 0.2 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 ▼ 0.1 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +3982 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +99900 flat $2K Oct 4, 2026
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 4% +2497 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +39900 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4778 ▼ 0.1 pp $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 63% -167 ▲ 6.0 pp $2K Sep 13, 2026
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +66567 flat $2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil’s presidential runoff? Polymarket Presidential 94% -1513 ▼ 2.8 pp $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 0% +22122 flat $1K Oct 4, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 18% +456 ▲ 8.3 pp $1K Apr 17, 2027
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 56% -125 ▼ 0.5 pp $1K Oct 24, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Polymarket Presidential 13% +700 flat $1K Dec 31, 2026
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Polymarket Presidential 2% +4778 flat $1K Apr 30, 2027