Platform: Polymarket
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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated there is no point in a direct meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy until lower-level experts reach preliminary agreements on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires. Recent US-mediated negotiator talks in locations including Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on prisoner exchanges but stalled on major…
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Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat?
Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s partisan composition, centered in the Charlotte area, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and Cook Political Report rates the seat…
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Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei holds the leading position in the market following his March 2026 selection by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 Iran war. This rapid transition, backed by security institutions including the IRGC, reflects trader consensus on continuity in the short…
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Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei holds the leading position in the market following his March 2026 selection by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 Iran war. This rapid transition, backed by security institutions including the IRGC, reflects trader consensus on continuity in the short…
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Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 31% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction yet shortened her eligibility ban enough to clear a path for her 2027 candidacy, which she immediately confirmed while pursuing further appeals. This development has consolidated support for the National Rally amid voter fatigue with Macron-era…
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Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus as the likely next Israeli prime minister following the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, reflecting his recent polling surge with the Yashar party, which has drawn even or ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud. Eizenkot’s positioning stems from his record as former IDF chief of staff, personal losses during the Gaza…
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Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Early positioning in the 2028 presidential race reflects a wide-open field more than two years before primaries, with no formal candidacies declared and traders pricing in uncertainty around party dynamics, voter coalitions, and potential primary challenges. JD Vance holds the lead as sitting vice president with institutional advantages and reported private support from former President…
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Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Zelenskyy maintains a steady cadence of updates on X as Ukraine’s president, typically issuing multiple daily posts in Ukrainian and English on frontline developments, diplomatic outreach, air defense needs, and responses to Russian strikes. This pattern, reinforced by the week’s focus on North Korean reinforcements, Saudi coordination, and military planning, aligns closely with the 60-79…
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Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 4, 2026, defeating Representative Haley Stevens in a closely contested and record-spending primary. This outcome followed incumbent Gary Peters’s decision not to seek re-election and positioned the progressive former health official against former Congressman Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and…
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Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a dominant position in Montana’s open U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state’s longstanding Republican advantage in federal contests and his consolidation of party support after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primaries. Alme secured the nomination with former President Trump’s backing, while independent Seth Bodnar,…